Analytics for sharp bettors

Find the bets the market got wrong.

DH Analytics runs probability models on every market and surfaces only the disagreements worth playing. No tips. No parlays. No noise.

01 — Model

Game-by-game simulations adjust for pace, lineup, rest, and injury. Output: a true probability, not a hot take.

inputs ─┐
        ├─▶ p_model = 0.56
weights ─┘

02 — Market

Every book is read continuously. We back out the no-vig consensus to get what the market actually thinks.

FD 1.91 ─┐
DK 1.95  ├─▶ p_market = 0.52
MGM 1.92 ┘

03 — Edge

When our number and the market's diverge by enough to matter, the pick appears. Otherwise we say nothing.

edge =
  p_model × odds − 1
      = +4.2%

Trust, not excitement.

We publish every settled pick, win or lose, with closing-line value. The track record is the product. The narrative is just the explanation.

57.2%

Win rate

+8.3%

ROI

+3.4%

Avg CLV

Last 90 days · all sports · settled picks only